ESCOdds 2023

ESCOdds 2023 2023
Dates
Final	1-13 May 2023
Host
Executive supervisor	Mark Nightingale
Participants
Number of entries	19
Debuting countries	Australia Denmark Croatia Germany Greece Hungary Italy Japan Kazakhstan Lebanon Netherlands Portugal San Marino Serbia Spain Sweden Thailand United Kingdom Vietnam
Returning Countries	None
Non-returning Countries	None
Participation map
Vote
Winning song	Italy Artyom Alekseyonok

The ESCOdds 2023 - was the 1st edition of the Eurovision Song Contest Odds that has been ever made and was held from 1 to 13 May 2023.

Nineteen countries will participate in the first odds. Among all the participants, Artyom Alekseyonok (Italy), Denis Nikitin (Vietnam) and Egor Tarashkevich (Germany) took part in the IECO competition for the first time.

Maksim Kamendrowsky and Denis Vorobyov (380 points each) turned out to be the best in the bets on the first semi-final, and Egor Tarashkevich (380 points) in the second semi-final. Evgeny Smykov won the final with 507 points. The final winner for all three evenings was Artyom Alekseyonok with 1140 points. The top five also included Sergey Silkin, Denis Vorobyov, Denis Nikitin and Alexander Sivak.

Format

Semi-Final rules

Each participant had to submit their predicted top ten finalists for each of the two semi-finals of the competition. The participant had the right to change and / or supplement his bet before the broadcast of each of the semi-finals.

Points were awarded for each specified finalist country individually and depended on the number of mentions of a particular finalist country in all bets of all participants. So if the same finalist country was mentioned in all bets, all participants received 10 points each. Further, the less often the finalist country was mentioned in all bets, the value for it increased by 10 points until the moment when the finalist country was mentioned only in one of the eighteen bets - you could get upto 180 points for it.

As a result, all points for the guessed countries were summed up and gave a total for each of the semi-finals.

Changes

Initially, it was planned that only half of the total number of participants in terms of the total amount of points scored in the two semi-finals would advance to the final stage, with all points scored in the semi-finals reset to zero. However, the next day it was decided to abandon this idea in order not to deprive the full participation of all participants.

Grand Final rules

The opportunity to leave your predictions for the final became available from May 4, 2023 and lasted until the broadcast of the final on May 13, 2023.

In the final, each of the participants had to indicate the top forecast of 26 positions, placing the finalist countries in it. In the forecast, the finalist country should not have been repeated.

Points were awarded for each finalist country in the bet as follows:

• 24 points for a full hit of the occupied place by the finalist country, or 48 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
• 22 points for an error of +/-1 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 44 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
• 20 points for an error of +/-2 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 40 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
• 18 points for an error of +/-3 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 36 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
• 16 points for an error of +/-4 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 32 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
• 14 points for an error of +/-5 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 12 points for an error of +/-6 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 10 points for an error of +/-7 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 8 points for an error of +/-8 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 7 points for an error of +/-9 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 6 points for an error of +/-10 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 5 points for an error of +/-11 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 4 points for an error of +/-12 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 3 points for an error of +/-13 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 2 points for an error of +/-14 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 1 point for an error of +/-15 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 0 points for an error of +/-16 or more from the place taken by the finalist country;

As a result, all the points received were summed up with each other and gave a total for the final.

Summing up and resolving disputed positions

After the results of the final, all the points scored by the participants for the two semi-finals and the final were added together and gave the final final result. During the comparison of points, the winner was revealed.

If two or more participants had equal points, then to determine the strongest of them, the one who scored the most points in the final was determined. If this criterion did not reveal the strongest, then the number of guessed countries for both semi-finals together was compared (not including their value). In case of equality and in this criterion, the strongest was the participant who sent his bet-forecast for the final earlier than his opponents.

Participating Countries

Results

Nineteen participants took part in the bets. Participants could make and change their bets from May 1 and May 9 (before the broadcast of the first semi-final) and until May 11 (before the broadcast of the second semi-final). Bets on the final were accepted from the beginning of May 12 (as soon as all the finalists became known) until the broadcast of the final on May 13, 2023.

Country Place Points Australia, Mark Solovyov 14 1013 Croatia, Sergey Silkin 2 1109 Denmark, Nikita Belonogov 13 1030 Germany, Egor Tarashkevich 11 1045 Greece, Alexander Sivak 5 1094 Hungary, Roman Dudarev 8 1071 Italy, Artyom Alekseyonok 1 1140 Japan, Pasha Kulik 17 936 Kazakhstan, Egor Semenov 18 712 Lebanon, Anton Desyatov 12 1044 Netherlands, Jean Isaac 16 987 Portugal, Denis Vorobyov 3 1101 San Marino, Nikita Likhanov 7 1075 Serbia, Evgenii Smykov 10 1057 Spain, Sergey Ladysev 6 1081 Sweden, Maksim Kamendrowsky 19 610 Thailand, Maksim Bogomolov 15 996 United Kingdom, Igor Kapsharin 9 1060 Vietnam, Denia Nikitin 4 1095

First Semi-Final Second Semi-Final Grand Final 1 Kamendrowsky 380 1 Tarashkevich 380 1 Smykov 507 Vorobyov 380 2 Alekseyonok 370 2 Isaac 497 3 Nikitin 350 3 Dudarev 360 3 Sivak 494 4 Alekseyonok 340 4 Kapsharin 340 4 Solovyov 493 Silkin 340 5 Ladysev 330 5 Kulik 476 6 Kapsharin 330 Silkin 330 6 Nikitin 475 Likhanov 330 7 Bogomolov 290 7 Likhanov 475 Sivak 330 8 Belonogov 270 8 Desyatov 474 9 Belonogov 300 Desyatov 270 9 Belonogov 460 Bogomolov 300 Likhanov 270 10 Vorobyov 451 Desyatov 300 Nikitin 270 11 Dudarev 451 Ladysev 300 Sivak 270 12 Ladysev 451 Semenov 300 Solovyov 270 13 Silkin 439 Smykov 300 Vorobyov 270 14 Alekseyonok 430 15 Dudarev 260 15 Smykov 250 15 Tarashkevich 415 Isaac 260 16 Semenov 240 16 Bogomolov 406 Kulik 260 17 Isaac 230 17 Kapsharin 390 18 Solovyov 250 Kamendrowsky 230 18 Semenov 172 Tarashkevich 250 19 Kulik 200 19 Kamendrowsky 0

Semi-Finals

Scoring system for the semi-finals

Number of mentions	19	18	17	16	15	14	13	12	11	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1
Points awarded	10	20	30	40	50	60	70	80	90	100	110	120	130	140	150	160	170	180	190

1st Semi-Final Points Norway Malta Serbia Latvia Portugal Ireland Croatia Switzerland Israel Moldova Sweden Azerbaijan Czechia Netherlands Finland Contestants Solovyov 250 20 X 40 X 80 40 30 20 X 20 Silkin 340 20 40 50 80 30 40 20 50 X 20 Belonogov 300 20 40 50 X 40 30 40 20 50 20 Tarashkevich 250 X 40 X 50 X 80 40 40 X X Sivak 330 20 40 X 80 40 30 40 20 50 20 Dudarev 260 20 40 50 X 30 40 20 50 X 20 Alekseyonok 340 20 X 40 50 80 40 30 20 50 20 Kulik 260 20 X 50 40 30 40 20 50 X 20 Semenov 300 20 50 80 40 30 20 X 50 X 20 Desyatov 300 20 40 X 50 80 30 40 20 X 20 Isaac 260 20 50 X 40 30 40 20 50 X 20 Vorobyov 380 20 40 50 80 40 30 40 20 50 20 Likhanov 330 20 40 80 40 30 40 20 50 X 20 Smykov 300 20 X 40 50 40 30 40 20 50 20 Ladysev 300 20 X 40 50 40 30 40 20 50 20 Kamendrowsky 380 20 40 50 80 40 30 40 20 50 20 Bogomolov 300 20 X 40 50 40 30 40 20 50 20 Kapsharin 330 20 40 80 40 30 40 20 50 X 20 Nikitin 350 20 40 50 80 40 40 20 50 X 20

2nd Semi-Final Points Denmark Armenia Romania Estonia Belgium Cyprus Iceland Greece Poland Slovenia Georgia San Marino Austria Albania Lithuania Australia Contestants Solovyov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30 Silkin 330 20 40 X 40 10 X 30 130 30 30 Belonogov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30 Tarashkevich 380 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 130 30 30 Sivak 270 20 40 40 30 X 40 10 X 30 30 30 Dudarev 360 20 40 30 40 10 X 30 130 30 30 Alekseyonok 370 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 130 30 30 Kulik 200 20 40 40 30 X X 10 X 30 30 Semenov 240 X 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 Desyatov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30 Isaac 230 20 40 40 30 10 X 30 30 30 Vorobyov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30 Likhanov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30 Smykov 250 20 40 30 X 40 10 X 30 30 30 Ladysev 330 20 40 30 X 40 10 X 30 130 30 Kamendrowsky 230 20 40 30 X 40 10 X 30 30 30 Bogomolov 290 X 20 40 30 X 10 X 30 130 30 Kapsharin 340 20 40 40 X 40 10 X 30 130 30 Nikitin 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30

Grand Final

All participants announced their bets for the final, except for Maxim Kamendrovsky (Sweden) and a partial bet was made by Yegor Semyonov (Kazakhstan).

The ESC results		Alekseyonok			430	Belonogov			460	Bogomolov			406	Desyatov			474	Dudarev			451	Isaac			497	Kamendrowsky			0
		Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.
1	SWE	1	SWE	0	48	1	SWE	0	48	1	FIN	+1	44	1	FIN	+1	44	1	SWE	0	48	1	SWE	0	48	1
2	FIN	2	FIN	0	48	2	FIN	0	48	2	SWE	-1	44	2	SWE	-1	44	2	FIN	0	48	2	ISR	+1	44	2
3	ISR	3	ISR	0	48	3	ISR	0	48	3				3	ISR	0	48	3				3	FIN	-1	44	3
4	ITA	4				4				4				4	NOR	+1	44	4	ISR	-1	44	4	ITA	0	48	4
5	NOR	5				5	NOR	0	48	5	ITA	-1	44	5				5	NOR	0	48	5	UKR	+1	22	5
6	UKR	6	ITA	-2	20	6				6	NOR	-1	22	6				6				6				6
7	BEL	7	BEL	0	24	7	ITA	-3	18	7				7	AUS	+2	20	7				7				7
8	EST	8				8				8				8	ITA	-4	16	8	ITA	-4	16	8				8
9	AUS	9				9				9	EST	-1	22	9				9	UKR	-3	18	9	AUS	0	24	9
10	CZE	10				10	UKR	-4	16	10				10	BEL	-3	18	10				10	NOR	-5	14	10
11		11				11	CZE	-1	22	11				11				11				11				11
12		12				12				12	ISR	-9	7	12				12				12				12
13		13	NOR	-8	8	13				13				13				13				13	CZE	-3	18	13
14		14	UKR	-8	8	14	AUS	-5	14	14				14				14				14	BEL	-7	10	14
15		15				15				15	UKR	-9	7	15				15				15				15
16		16				16				16				16				16				16				16
17		17	AUS	-8	8	17				17	CZE	-7	10	17				17	EST	-9	7	17				17
18		18	EST	-10	6	18				18				18				18				18				18
19		19				19				19				19	EST	-11	5	19				19				19
20		20				20				20				20	UKR	-14	2	20	AUS	-11	5	20				20
21		21				21				21				21				21	CZE	-11	5	21				21
22		22				22				22				22	BEL	-15	1	22				22	EST	-14	2	22
23		23				23	EST	-15	1	23	AUS	-14	2	23				23				23				23
24		24	CZE	-14	2	24				24	BEL	-17	0	24				24				24				24
25		25				25	BEL	-18	0	25				25				25				25				25
26		26				26				26				26	CZE	-16	0	26				26				26

The ESC results		Kapsharin				Kulik				Ladysev				Likhanov				Nikitin				Semenov
		Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.
1	SWE	1	FIN	+1	44	1	SWE	0	48	1	SWE	0	48	1	SWE	0	48	1	SWE	0	48	1	ARM	+13	3
2	FIN	2	SWE	-1	44	2	FIN	0	48	2	FIN	0	48	2	FIN	0	48	2	FIN	0	48	2	SWE	-1	44
3	ISR	3	ESP	+14	2	3	FRA	+13	3	3	ISR	0	48	3	NOR	+2	40	3	NOR	+2	40	3	FIN	-1	44
4	ITA	4	ISR	-1	44	4	ISR	-1	44	4	NOR	+1	44	4	ISR	-1	44	4	ISR	-1	44	4	FRA	+12	4
5	NOR	5	AUT	+10	6	5	ITA	-1	44	5	FRA	+11	5	5	UKR	+1	22	5	UKR	+1	22	5	UKR	+1	22
6	UKR	6	UKR	0	24	6	ESP	+11	5	6	ITA	-2	20	6	FRA	+10	6	6	FRA	+10	6	6
7	BEL	7	NOR	-2	20	7	NOR	-2	20	7	ESP	+10	6	7	AUT	+8	8	7	AUT	+8	8	7	ITA	-3	18
8	EST	8	ITA	-4	16	8	UKR	-2	20	8	GBR	+17	0	8	ITA	-4	16	8	ITA	-4	16	8
9	AUS	9	FRA	+7	10	9	AUT	+6	12	9	AUT	+6	12	9	ESP	+8	8	9	ESP	+8	8	9
10	CZE	10	ARM	+4	16	10	ARM	+4	16	10	ARM	+4	16	10	GBR	+15	1	10	GBR	+15	1	10
11	LTU	11	HRV	+2	20	11	SLV	+10	6	11	CZE	-1	22	11	CZE	-1	22	11	CZE	-1	22	11	ESP	+6	12
12	CYP	12	POL	+7	10	12	BEL	-5	14	12	SVN	+9	7	12	ARM	+2	20	12	ARM	+2	20	12
13	HRV	13	SVN	+8	8	13	AUS	-4	16	13	UKR	-7	10	13	SVN	+8	8	13	SVN	+8	8	13
14		14	DEU			14				14				14				14				14
15		15	GBR			15				15				15				15				15
16		16	MDA			16				16				16				16				16
17		17	SRB			17				17				17				17				17
18		18	BEL			18				18				18				18				18
19		19	EST			19				19				19				19				19
20		20	AUS			20				20				20				20				20
21		21	CZE			21				21				21				21				21
22		22	CHE			22				22				22				22				22
23		23	CYP			23				23				23				23				23
24		24	ALB			24				24				24				24				24
25		25	PRT			25				25				25				25				25
26		26	LTU			26				26				26				26				26

The ESC results		Silkin				Sivak				Smykov				Solovyov				Tarashkevich				Vorobyov
		Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.	Pl.	Country	Dif.	Pts.
1	SWE	1				1				1				1				1				1
2	FIN	2				2				2				2				2				2
3	ISR	3				3				3				3				3				3
4	ITA	4				4				4				4				4				4
5	NOR	5				5				5				5				5				5
6	UKR	6				6				6				6				6				6
7	BEL	7				7				7				7				7				7
8	EST	8				8				8				8				8				8
9	AUS	9				9				9				9				9				9
10	CZE	10				10				10				10				10				10
11		11				11				11				11				11				11
12		12				12				12				12				12				12
13		13				13				13				13				13				13
14		14				14				14				14				14				14
15		15				15				15				15				15				15
16		16				16				16				16				16				16
17		17				17				17				17				17				17
18		18				18				18				18				18				18
19		19				19				19				19				19				19
20		20				20				20				20				20				20
21		21				21				21				21				21				21
22		22				22				22				22				22				22
23		23				23				23				23				23				23
24		24				24				24				24				24				24
25		25				25				25				25				25				25
26		26				26				26				26				26				26