ESCOdds 2023: Difference between revisions

From IECO - International Eurofan's Countries Organisation
VisualWikitext
Line 1,256: Line 1,256:


==Criticism==
==Criticism==
===Scoring system for the semi-finals===
Even before the start of accepting bets, there was an idea to halve the value of getting points for qualification from the semi-finals of a guessed bet. After the announcement of the results of the finals, an active action was launched to call for a change in the system for scoring points in the semi-finals by half - instead of 10 points, award 5 points. This was due to the fact that the value of the two semi-finals together was higher than the value of the final (approximately 65% to 35%). On the same day, an alternative table was made with the proposed semi-final scoring system for comparison with the current results. The alternative table showed that the value of the final was now higher than the value of both semi-finals (approximately 35% for both semi-finals at 65% of the final), and the final positions were approximately more average.
Even before the start of accepting bets, there was an idea to halve the value of getting points for qualification from the semi-finals of a guessed bet. After the announcement of the results of the finals, an active action was launched to call for a change in the system for scoring points in the semi-finals by half - instead of 10 points, award 5 points. This was due to the fact that the value of the two semi-finals together was higher than the value of the final (approximately 65% to 35%). On the same day, an alternative table was made with the proposed semi-final scoring system for comparison with the current results. The alternative table showed that the value of the final was now higher than the value of both semi-finals (approximately 35% for both semi-finals at 65% of the final), and the final positions were approximately more average.


==Navigation==
==Navigation==
{{Navigation}}
{{Navigation}}

Revision as of 10:53, 16 May 2023

ESCOdds 2023 2023
Dates
Final1-13 May 2023
Host
Executive supervisor Mark Nightingale
Participants
Number of entries19
Debuting countries Australia
Denmark
Croatia
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Italy
Japan
Kazakhstan
Lebanon
Netherlands
Portugal
San Marino
Serbia
Spain
Sweden
Thailand
United Kingdom
Vietnam
Returning CountriesNone
Non-returning CountriesNone
Participation map
Vote
Winning song Italy
Artyom Alekseyonok
← ESCOdds 2023 2023 →

The ESCOdds 2023 - was the 1st edition of the Eurovision Song Contest Odds that has been ever made and was held from 1 to 13 May 2023.

Nineteen countries will participate in the first odds. Among all the participants, Artyom Alekseyonok (Italy), Denis Nikitin (Vietnam) and Egor Tarashkevich (Germany) took part in the IECO competition for the first time.

Maksim Kamendrowsky and Denis Vorobyov (380 points each) turned out to be the best in the bets on the first semi-final, and Egor Tarashkevich (380 points) in the second semi-final. Evgeny Smykov won the final with 507 points. The final winner for all three evenings was Artyom Alekseyonok with 1140 points. The top five also included Sergey Silkin, Denis Vorobyov, Denis Nikitin and Alexander Sivak.

Format

Semi-Final rules

Each participant had to submit their predicted top ten finalists for each of the two semi-finals of the competition. The participant had the right to change and / or supplement his bet before the broadcast of each of the semi-finals.

Points were awarded for each specified finalist country individually and depended on the number of mentions of a particular finalist country in all bets of all participants. So if the same finalist country was mentioned in all bets, all participants received 10 points each. Further, the less often the finalist country was mentioned in all bets, the value for it increased by 10 points until the moment when the finalist country was mentioned only in one of the eighteen bets - you could get upto 180 points for it.

As a result, all points for the guessed countries were summed up and gave a total for each of the semi-finals.

Changes

Initially, it was planned that only half of the total number of participants in terms of the total amount of points scored in the two semi-finals would advance to the final stage, with all points scored in the semi-finals reset to zero. However, the next day it was decided to abandon this idea in order not to deprive the full participation of all participants.

Grand Final rules

The opportunity to leave your predictions for the final became available from May 4, 2023 and lasted until the broadcast of the final on May 13, 2023.

In the final, each of the participants had to indicate the top forecast of 26 positions, placing the finalist countries in it. In the forecast, the finalist country should not have been repeated.

Points were awarded for each finalist country in the bet as follows:

  • 24 points for a full hit of the occupied place by the finalist country, or 48 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 22 points for an error of +/-1 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 44 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 20 points for an error of +/-2 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 40 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 18 points for an error of +/-3 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 36 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 16 points for an error of +/-4 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 32 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 14 points for an error of +/-5 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 12 points for an error of +/-6 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 10 points for an error of +/-7 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 8 points for an error of +/-8 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 7 points for an error of +/-9 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 6 points for an error of +/-10 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 5 points for an error of +/-11 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 4 points for an error of +/-12 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 3 points for an error of +/-13 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 2 points for an error of +/-14 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 1 point for an error of +/-15 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 0 points for an error of +/-16 or more from the place taken by the finalist country;

As a result, all the points received were summed up with each other and gave a total for the final.

Summing up and resolving disputed positions

After the results of the final, all the points scored by the participants for the two semi-finals and the final were added together and gave the final final result. During the comparison of points, the winner was revealed.

If two or more participants had equal points, then to determine the strongest of them, the one who scored the most points in the final was determined. If this criterion did not reveal the strongest, then the number of guessed countries for both semi-finals together was compared (not including their value). In case of equality and in this criterion, the strongest was the participant who sent his bet-forecast for the final earlier than his opponents.

Participating Countries

Results

Nineteen participants took part in the bets. Participants could make and change their bets from May 1 and May 9 (before the broadcast of the first semi-final) and until May 11 (before the broadcast of the second semi-final). Bets on the final were accepted from the beginning of May 12 (as soon as all the finalists became known) until the broadcast of the final on May 13, 2023.

Country Place Points
Australia, Mark Solovyov 14 1013
Croatia, Sergey Silkin 2 1109
Denmark, Nikita Belonogov 13 1030
Germany, Egor Tarashkevich 11 1045
Greece, Alexander Sivak 5 1094
Hungary, Roman Dudarev 8 1071
Italy, Artyom Alekseyonok 1 1140
Japan, Pasha Kulik 17 936
Kazakhstan, Egor Semenov 18 712
Lebanon, Anton Desyatov 12 1044
Netherlands, Jean Isaac 16 987
Portugal, Denis Vorobyov 3 1101
San Marino, Nikita Likhanov 7 1075
Serbia, Evgenii Smykov 10 1057
Spain, Sergey Ladysev 6 1081
Sweden, Maksim Kamendrowsky 19 610
Thailand, Maksim Bogomolov 15 996
United Kingdom, Igor Kapsharin 9 1060
Vietnam, Denia Nikitin 4 1095
First Semi-Final Second Semi-Final Grand Final
1 Kamendrowsky 380 1 Tarashkevich 380 1 Smykov 507
Vorobyov 380 2 Alekseyonok 370 2 Isaac 497
3 Nikitin 350 3 Dudarev 360 3 Sivak 494
4 Alekseyonok 340 4 Kapsharin 340 4 Solovyov 493
Silkin 340 5 Ladysev 330 5 Kulik 476
6 Kapsharin 330 Silkin 330 6 Nikitin 475
Likhanov 330 7 Bogomolov 290 7 Likhanov 475
Sivak 330 8 Belonogov 270 8 Desyatov 474
9 Belonogov 300 Desyatov 270 9 Belonogov 460
Bogomolov 300 Likhanov 270 10 Vorobyov 451
Desyatov 300 Nikitin 270 11 Dudarev 451
Ladysev 300 Sivak 270 12 Ladysev 451
Semenov 300 Solovyov 270 13 Silkin 439
Smykov 300 Vorobyov 270 14 Alekseyonok 430
15 Dudarev 260 15 Smykov 250 15 Tarashkevich 415
Isaac 260 16 Semenov 240 16 Bogomolov 406
Kulik 260 17 Isaac 230 17 Kapsharin 390
18 Solovyov 250 Kamendrowsky 230 18 Semenov 172
Tarashkevich 250 19 Kulik 200 19 Kamendrowsky 0

Semi-Finals

Scoring system for the semi-finals
Number of mentions 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Points awarded 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190
1st Semi-Final
Points
Norway
Malta
Serbia
Latvia
Portugal
Ireland
Croatia
Switzerland
Israel
Moldova
Sweden
Azerbaijan
Czechia
Netherlands
Finland
Contestants
 Solovyov 250 20 X 40 X 80 40 30 20 X 20
Silkin 340 20 40 50 80 30 40 20 50 X 20
Belonogov 300 20 40 50 X 40 30 40 20 50 20
Tarashkevich 250 X 40 X 50 X 80 40 40 X X
Sivak 330 20 40 X 80 40 30 40 20 50 20
Dudarev 260 20 40 50 X 30 40 20 50 X 20
Alekseyonok 340 20 X 40 50 80 40 30 20 50 20
Kulik 260 20 X 50 40 30 40 20 50 X 20
Semenov 300 20 50 80 40 30 20 X 50 X 20
Desyatov 300 20 40 X 50 80 30 40 20 X 20
Isaac 260 20 50 X 40 30 40 20 50 X 20
Vorobyov 380 20 40 50 80 40 30 40 20 50 20
Likhanov 330 20 40 80 40 30 40 20 50 X 20
Smykov 300 20 X 40 50 40 30 40 20 50 20
Ladysev 300 20 X 40 50 40 30 40 20 50 20
Kamendrowsky 380 20 40 50 80 40 30 40 20 50 20
Bogomolov 300 20 X 40 50 40 30 40 20 50 20
Kapsharin 330 20 40 80 40 30 40 20 50 X 20
Nikitin 350 20 40 50 80 40 40 20 50 X 20
2nd Semi-Final
Points
Denmark
Armenia
Romania
Estonia
Belgium
Cyprus
Iceland
Greece
Poland
Slovenia
Georgia
San Marino
Austria
Albania
Lithuania
Australia
Contestants
 Solovyov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30
Silkin 330 20 40 X 40 10 X 30 130 30 30
Belonogov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30
Tarashkevich 380 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 130 30 30
Sivak 270 20 40 40 30 X 40 10 X 30 30 30
Dudarev 360 20 40 30 40 10 X 30 130 30 30
Alekseyonok 370 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 130 30 30
Kulik 200 20 40 40 30 X X 10 X 30 30
Semenov 240 X 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30
Desyatov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30
Isaac 230 20 40 40 30 10 X 30 30 30
Vorobyov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30
Likhanov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30
Smykov 250 20 40 30 X 40 10 X 30 30 30
Ladysev 330 20 40 30 X 40 10 X 30 130 30
Kamendrowsky 230 20 40 30 X 40 10 X 30 30 30
Bogomolov 290 X 20 40 30 X 10 X 30 130 30
Kapsharin 340 20 40 40 X 40 10 X 30 130 30
Nikitin 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30

Grand Final

All participants announced their bets for the final, except for Maxim Kamendrovsky (Sweden) and a partial bet was made by Yegor Semyonov (Kazakhstan).

The ESC results Alekseyonok 430 Belonogov 460 Bogomolov 406 Desyatov 474 Dudarev 451 Isaac 497 Kamendrowsky 0
Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts.
1 SWE 1 SWE 0 48 1 SWE 0 48 1 FIN +1 44 1 FIN +1 44 1 SWE 0 48 1 SWE 0 48 1 Bet not placed
2 FIN 2 FIN 0 48 2 FIN 0 48 2 SWE -1 44 2 SWE -1 44 2 FIN 0 48 2 ISR +1 44 2
3 ISR 3 ISR 0 48 3 ISR 0 48 3 FRA +13 3 3 ISR 0 48 3 ARM +11 5 3 FIN -1 44 3
4 ITA 4 ARM +10 6 4 FRA +12 4 4 ESP +13 3 4 NOR +1 44 4 ISR -1 44 4 ITA 0 48 4
5 NOR 5 HRV +8 8 5 NOR 0 48 5 ITA -1 44 5 ESP +12 4 5 NOR 0 48 5 UKR +1 22 5
6 UKR 6 ITA -2 20 6 ARM +8 8 6 NOR -1 22 6 ARM +8 8 6 ESP +11 5 6 ARM +8 8 6
7 BEL 7 BEL 0 24 7 ITA -3 18 7 AUT +8 8 7 AUS +2 20 7 FRA +9 7 7 FRA +9 7 7
8 EST 8 FRA +8 8 8 ESP +9 7 8 SVN +13 3 8 ITA -4 16 8 ITA -4 16 8 ESP +9 7 8
9 AUS 9 CHE +11 5 9 AUT +6 12 9 EST -1 22 9 AUT +6 12 9 UKR -3 18 9 AUS 0 24 9
10 CZE 10 ESP +7 10 10 UKR -4 16 10 ARM +4 16 10 BEL -3 18 10 SVN +11 5 10 NOR -5 14 10
11 LTU 11 CYP +1 22 11 CZE -1 22 11 GBR +14 2 11 DEU +15 1 11 SRB +13 3 11 AUT +4 16 11
12 CYP 12 AUT +3 18 12 SVN +9 7 12 ISR -9 7 12 HRV +1 22 12 AUT +3 18 12 CYP 0 24 12
13 HRV 13 NOR -8 8 13 MDA +5 14 13 CYP -1 22 13 MDA +5 14 13 CYP -1 22 13 CZE -3 18 13
14 ARM 14 UKR -8 8 14 AUS -5 14 14 MDA +4 16 14 FRA +2 20 14 HRV -1 22 14 BEL -7 10 14
15 AUT 15 SRB +9 7 15 CYP -3 18 15 UKR -9 7 15 CHE +5 14 15 CHE +5 14 15 SVN +6 12 15
16 FRA 16 POL +3 18 16 SRB +8 8 16 LTU -5 14 16 LTU -5 14 16 MDA +2 20 16 ALB +6 12 16
17 ESP 17 AUS -8 8 17 POL +2 20 17 CZE -7 10 17 CYP -5 14 17 EST -9 7 17 SRB +7 10 17
18 MDA 18 EST -10 6 18 PRT +5 14 18 PRT +5 14 18 SVN +3 18 18 ALB +4 16 18 PRT +5 14 18
19 POL 19 DEU +7 10 19 ALB +3 18 19 ALB +3 18 19 EST -11 5 19 PRT +4 16 19 CHE +1 22 19
20 CHE 20 SVN +1 22 20 HRV -7 10 20 CHE 0 24 20 UKR -14 2 20 AUS -11 5 20 HRV -7 10 20
21 SVN 21 MDA -3 18 21 GBR +4 16 21 SRB +3 18 21 PRT +2 20 21 CZE -11 5 21 MDA -3 18 21
22 ALB 22 GBR +3 18 22 CHE -2 20 22 POL -3 18 22 GBR +3 18 22 BEL -15 1 22 EST -14 2 22
23 PRT 23 LTU -12 4 23 EST -15 1 23 AUS -14 2 23 SRB +1 22 23 LTU -12 4 23 POL -4 16 23
24 SRB 24 CZE -14 2 24 DEU +2 20 24 BEL -17 0 24 POL -5 14 24 DEU +2 20 24 LTU -13 3 24
25 GBR 25 ALB -3 18 25 BEL -18 0 25 DEU +1 22 25 ALB -3 18 25 POL -6 12 25 DEU +1 22 25
26 DEU 26 PRT -3 18 26 LTU -15 1 26 HRV -13 3 26 CZE -16 0 26 GBR -1 22 26 GBR -1 22 26
The ESC results Kapsharin 390 Kulik 476 Ladysev 451 Likhanov 475 Nikitin 475 Semenov 172
Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts.
1 SWE 1 FIN +1 44 1 SWE 0 48 1 SWE 0 48 1 SWE 0 48 1 SWE 0 48 1 ARM +13 3
2 FIN 2 SWE -1 44 2 FIN 0 48 2 FIN 0 48 2 FIN 0 48 2 FIN 0 48 2 SWE -1 44
3 ISR 3 ESP +14 2 3 FRA +13 3 3 ISR 0 48 3 NOR +2 40 3 NOR +2 40 3 FIN -1 44
4 ITA 4 ISR -1 44 4 ISR -1 44 4 NOR +1 44 4 ISR -1 44 4 ISR -1 44 4 FRA +12 4
5 NOR 5 AUT +10 6 5 ITA -1 44 5 FRA +11 5 5 UKR +1 22 5 UKR +1 22 5 UKR +1 22
6 UKR 6 UKR 0 24 6 ESP +11 5 6 ITA -2 20 6 FRA +10 6 6 FRA +10 6 6 Bet not placed
7 BEL 7 NOR -2 20 7 NOR -2 20 7 ESP +10 6 7 AUT +8 8 7 AUT +8 8 7 ITA -3 18
8 EST 8 ITA -4 16 8 UKR -2 20 8 GBR +17 0 8 ITA -4 16 8 ITA -4 16 8 Bet not placed
9 AUS 9 FRA +7 10 9 AUT +6 12 9 AUT +6 12 9 ESP +8 8 9 ESP +8 8 9
10 CZE 10 ARM +4 16 10 ARM +4 16 10 ARM +4 16 10 GBR +15 1 10 GBR +15 1 10
11 LTU 11 HRV +2 20 11 SLV +10 6 11 CZE -1 22 11 CZE -1 22 11 CZE -1 22 11 ESP +6 12
12 CYP 12 POL +7 10 12 BEL -5 14 12 SVN +9 7 12 ARM +2 20 12 ARM +2 20 12 Bet not placed
13 HRV 13 SVN +8 8 13 AUS -4 16 13 UKR -7 10 13 SVN +8 8 13 SVN +8 8 13
14 ARM 14 DEU +12 4 14 CHE +6 10 14 CHE +6 10 14 AUS -5 14 14 AUS -5 14 14
15 AUT 15 GBR +10 6 15 MDA +3 18 15 MDA +3 18 15 CHE +5 12 15 CHE +5 12 15 DEU +11 5
16 FRA 16 MDA +2 20 16 HRV -3 18 16 PRT +7 10 16 HRV -3 18 16 HRV -3 18 16 Bet not placed
17 ESP 17 SRB +7 10 17 CZE -7 10 17 CYP -5 14 17 BEL -10 6 17 BEL -10 6 17
18 MDA 18 BEL -11 5 18 EST -10 6 18 POL +1 22 18 MDA 0 24 18 MDA 0 24 18
19 POL 19 EST -11 5 19 GBR +6 12 19 HRV -6 12 19 POL 0 24 19 POL 0 24 19
20 CHE 20 AUS -11 5 20 CYP -8 8 20 AUS -11 5 20 CYP -8 8 20 CYP -8 8 20
21 SVN 21 CZE -11 5 21 DEU +5 14 21 BEL -14 2 21 SRB +3 18 21 SRB +3 18 21
22 ALB 22 CHE -2 20 22 ALB 0 24 22 EST -14 2 22 EST -14 2 22 EST -14 2 22
23 PRT 23 CYP -11 5 23 POL -4 16 23 LTU -12 4 23 DEU +3 18 23 DEU +3 18 23 GBR +2 20
24 SRB 24 ALB -2 20 24 SRB 0 24 24 ALB -2 20 24 PRT -1 22 24 PRT -1 22 24 Bet not placed
25 GBR 25 PRT -2 20 25 LTU -14 2 25 SRB -1 22 25 LTU -14 2 25 LTU -14 2 25
26 DEU 26 LTU -15 1 26 PRT -3 18 26 DEU 0 24 26 ALB -4 16 26 ALB -4 16 26
The ESC results Silkin Sivak Smykov Solovyov Tarashkevich Vorobyov
Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts.
1 SWE 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 FIN 2 2 2 2 2 2
3 ISR 3 3 3 3 3 3
4 ITA 4 4 4 4 4 4
5 NOR 5 5 5 5 5 5
6 UKR 6 6 6 6 6 6
7 BEL 7 7 7 7 7 7
8 EST 8 8 8 8 8 8
9 AUS 9 9 9 9 9 9
10 CZE 10 10 10 10 10 10
11 LTU 11 11 11 11 11 11
12 CYP 12 12 12 12 12 12
13 HRV 13 13 13 13 13 13
14 ARM 14 14 14 14 14 14
15 AUT 15 15 15 15 15 15
16 FRA 16 16 16 16 16 16
17 ESP 17 17 17 17 17 17
18 MDA 18 18 18 18 18 18
19 POL 19 19 19 19 19 19
20 CHE 20 20 20 20 20 20
21 SVN 21 21 21 21 21 21
22 ALB 22 22 22 22 22 22
23 PRT 23 23 23 23 23 23
24 SRB 24 24 24 24 24 24
25 GBR 25 25 25 25 25 25
26 DEU 26 26 26 26 26 26

Criticism

Scoring system for the semi-finals

Even before the start of accepting bets, there was an idea to halve the value of getting points for qualification from the semi-finals of a guessed bet. After the announcement of the results of the finals, an active action was launched to call for a change in the system for scoring points in the semi-finals by half - instead of 10 points, award 5 points. This was due to the fact that the value of the two semi-finals together was higher than the value of the final (approximately 65% to 35%). On the same day, an alternative table was made with the proposed semi-final scoring system for comparison with the current results. The alternative table showed that the value of the final was now higher than the value of both semi-finals (approximately 35% for both semi-finals at 65% of the final), and the final positions were approximately more average.

Navigation

Retrieved from ‘https://wiki.theieco.com/index.php?title=ESCOdds_2023&oldid=3176’