ESCOdds 2024

ESCOdds 2024 2024
Dates
Final	1-11 May 2024
Host
Executive supervisor	Mark Nightingale
Participants
Number of entries	18
Debuting countries	Israel
Returning Countries	Italy Portugal San Marino Serbia
Non-returning Countries	South Korea
Participation map
Vote
Winning song	San Marino Nikita Likhanov

The ESCOdds 2024 - was the 2nd edition of the Eurovision Song Contest Odds and 3rd of the ESCOdds ever. That has been ever made and was held from 1 to 11 May 2024.

Eighteen countries will participate in the third odds.

XXX (380 points each) turned out to be the best in the bets on the first semi-final, and XXX (380 points) in the second semi-final. XXX won the final with 507 points. The final winner for all three evenings was XXX with 1140 points. The top five also included XXX, XXX, XXX and XXX.

Format

Semi-Final rules

Each participant had to submit their predicted top ten finalists for each of the two semi-finals of the competition. The participant had the right to change and / or supplement his bet before the broadcast of each of the semi-finals.

Points were awarded for each specified finalist country individually and depended on the number of mentions of a particular finalist country in all bets of all participants. So if the same finalist country was mentioned in all bets, all participants received 5 points each. Further, the less often the finalist country was mentioned in all bets, the value for it increased by 10 points until the moment when the finalist country was mentioned only in one of the eighteen bets - you could get upto 180 points for it.

As a result, all points for the guessed countries were summed up and gave a total for each of the semi-finals.

Changes

Initially, it was planned that only half of the total number of participants in terms of the total amount of points scored in the two semi-finals would advance to the final stage, with all points scored in the semi-finals reset to zero. However, the next day it was decided to abandon this idea in order not to deprive the full participation of all participants.

Grand Final rules

The opportunity to leave your predictions for the final became available from May 4, 2023 and lasted until the broadcast of the final on May 13, 2023.

In the final, each of the participants had to indicate the top forecast of 26 positions, placing the finalist countries in it. In the forecast, the finalist country should not have been repeated.

Points were awarded for each finalist country in the bet as follows:

• 24 points for a full hit of the occupied place by the finalist country, or 48 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
• 22 points for an error of +/-1 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 44 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
• 20 points for an error of +/-2 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 40 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
• 18 points for an error of +/-3 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 36 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
• 16 points for an error of +/-4 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 32 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
• 14 points for an error of +/-5 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 12 points for an error of +/-6 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 10 points for an error of +/-7 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 8 points for an error of +/-8 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 7 points for an error of +/-9 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 6 points for an error of +/-10 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 5 points for an error of +/-11 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 4 points for an error of +/-12 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 3 points for an error of +/-13 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 2 points for an error of +/-14 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 1 point for an error of +/-15 of the place taken by the finalist country;
• 0 points for an error of +/-16 or more from the place taken by the finalist country;

As a result, all the points received were summed up with each other and gave a total for the final.

Summing up and resolving disputed positions

After the results of the final, all the points scored by the participants for the two semi-finals and the final were added together and gave the final final result. During the comparison of points, the winner was revealed.

If two or more participants had equal points, then to determine the strongest of them, the one who scored the most points in the final was determined. If this criterion did not reveal the strongest, then the number of guessed countries for both semi-finals together was compared (not including their value). In case of equality and in this criterion, the strongest was the participant who sent his bet-forecast for the final earlier than his opponents.

Participating Countries

Results

Eighteen participants took part in the bets. Participants could make and change their bets from May 1 to May 7 (before the broadcast of the first semi-final) and until May 9 (before the broadcast of the second semi-final). Bets on the final were accepted from the beginning of May 10 (as soon as all the finalists became known) until the broadcast of the final on May 11, 2024.

Country	Place	Points
Australia, Mark Solovyov	6	731
Croatia, Sergey Silkin	18	579
Denmark, Nikita Belonogov	7	721
Germany, Egor Tarashkevich	10	702
Hungary, Roman Dudarev	15	653
Israel, Nikolay Serb	8	716
Italy, Artyom Alekseyonok	3	741
Japan, Pasha Kulik	11	696
Lebanon, Anton Desyatov	5	735
Netherlands, Jean Isaac	12	687
Norway, Aleksei Komarov	9	703
Portugal, Denis Vorobyov	4	739
San Marino, Nikita Likhanov	1	788
Serbia, Evgenii Smykov	14	654
Switzerland, Victor Pevchev	17	607
Thailand, Maksim Bogomolov	16	617
United Kingdom, Igor Kapsharin	13	659
Vietnam, Denia Nikitin	2	769

Split Results by each show

First Semi-Final			Second Semi-Final			Grand Final
1	Desyatov	160	1	Serb	135	1	Belonogov	526
	Likhanov	160		Alekseyonok	135	2	Solovyov	521
3	Komarov	150		Vorobyov	135	3	Vorobyov	519
	Nikitin	150		Likhanov	135	4	Nikitin	509
5	Bogomolov	145	5	Solovyov	120	5	Desyatov	495
6	Isaac	130		Tarashkevich	120	6	Likhanov	493
7	Kulik	125	7	Belonogov	110	7	Serb	491
	Pevchev	125		Nikitin	110		Kulik	491
	Kapsharin	125	9	Dudarev	80	9	Alekseyonok	486
10	Tarashkevich	120		Kulik	80	10	Komarov	483
	Alekseyonok	120		Desyatov	80	11	Dudarev	478
	Smykov	120		Isaac	80	12	Isaac	477
13	Silkin	115		Smykov	80	13	Tarashkevich	462
14	Dudarev	95		Pevchev	80	14	Smykov	454
15	Solovyov	90		Bogomolov	80		Kapsharin	454
	Serb	90		Kapsharin	80	16	Pevchev	402
17	Belonogov	85	17	Silkin	70	17	Silkin	394
	Vorobyov	85		Komarov	70	18	Bogomolov	392