ESCOdds 2023

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The ESCOdds 2023 - was the 1st edition of the Eurovision Song Contest Odds that has been ever made and was held from 1 to 13 May 2023.

ESCOdds 2023 2023
Dates
Final1-13 May 2023
Host
Executive supervisor Mark Nightingale
Participants
Number of entries19
Debuting countries Australia
Denmark
Croatia
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Italy
Japan
Kazakhstan
Lebanon
Netherlands
Portugal
San Marino
Serbia
Spain
Sweden
Thailand
United Kingdom
Vietnam
Returning CountriesNone
Non-returning CountriesNone
Participation map
Vote
Winning song Italy
Artyom Alekseyonok
← ESCOdds 2023 2023 →

Nineteen countries will participate in the first odds. Among all the participants, Artyom Alekseyonok (Italy), Denis Nikitin (Vietnam) and Egor Tarashkevich (Germany) took part in the IECO competition for the first time.

Maksim Kamendrowsky and Denis Vorobyov (380 points each) turned out to be the best in the bets on the first semi-final, and Egor Tarashkevich (380 points) in the second semi-final. Evgeny Smykov won the final with 507 points. The final winner for all three evenings was Artyom Alekseyonok with 1140 points. The top five also included Sergey Silkin, Denis Vorobyov, Denis Nikitin and Alexander Sivak.

Format

Semi-Final rules

Each participant had to submit their predicted top ten finalists for each of the two semi-finals of the competition. The participant had the right to change and / or supplement his bet before the broadcast of each of the semi-finals.

Points were awarded for each specified finalist country individually and depended on the number of mentions of a particular finalist country in all bets of all participants. So if the same finalist country was mentioned in all bets, all participants received 10 points each. Further, the less often the finalist country was mentioned in all bets, the value for it increased by 10 points until the moment when the finalist country was mentioned only in one of the eighteen bets - you could get upto 180 points for it.

As a result, all points for the guessed countries were summed up and gave a total for each of the semi-finals.

Changes

Initially, it was planned that only half of the total number of participants in terms of the total amount of points scored in the two semi-finals would advance to the final stage, with all points scored in the semi-finals reset to zero. However, the next day it was decided to abandon this idea in order not to deprive the full participation of all participants.

Grand Final rules

The opportunity to leave your predictions for the final became available from May 4, 2023 and lasted until the broadcast of the final on May 13, 2023.

In the final, each of the participants had to indicate the top forecast of 26 positions, placing the finalist countries in it. In the forecast, the finalist country should not have been repeated.

Points were awarded for each finalist country in the bet as follows:

  • 24 points for a full hit of the occupied place by the finalist country, or 48 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 22 points for an error of +/-1 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 44 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 20 points for an error of +/-2 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 40 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 18 points for an error of +/-3 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 36 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 16 points for an error of +/-4 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 32 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 14 points for an error of +/-5 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 12 points for an error of +/-6 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 10 points for an error of +/-7 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 8 points for an error of +/-8 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 7 points for an error of +/-9 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 6 points for an error of +/-10 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 5 points for an error of +/-11 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 4 points for an error of +/-12 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 3 points for an error of +/-13 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 2 points for an error of +/-14 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 1 point for an error of +/-15 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 0 points for an error of +/-16 or more from the place taken by the finalist country;

As a result, all the points received were summed up with each other and gave a total for the final.

Summing up and resolving disputed positions

After the results of the final, all the points scored by the participants for the two semi-finals and the final were added together and gave the final final result. During the comparison of points, the winner was revealed.

If two or more participants had equal points, then to determine the strongest of them, the one who scored the most points in the final was determined. If this criterion did not reveal the strongest, then the number of guessed countries for both semi-finals together was compared (not including their value). In case of equality and in this criterion, the strongest was the participant who sent his bet-forecast for the final earlier than his opponents.

Participating Countries

Results

Nineteen participants took part in the bets. Participants could make and change their bets from May 1 and May 9 (before the broadcast of the first semi-final) and until May 11 (before the broadcast of the second semi-final). Bets on the final were accepted from the beginning of May 12 (as soon as all the finalists became known) until the broadcast of the final on May 13, 2023.

Country Place Points
  Australia, Mark Solovyov 14 1013
  Croatia, Sergey Silkin 2 1109
  Denmark, Nikita Belonogov 13 1030
  Germany, Egor Tarashkevich 11 1045
  Greece, Alexander Sivak 5 1094
  Hungary, Roman Dudarev 8 1071
  Italy, Artyom Alekseyonok 1 1140
  Japan, Pasha Kulik 17 936
  Kazakhstan, Egor Semenov 18 712
  Lebanon, Anton Desyatov 12 1044
  Netherlands, Jean Isaac 16 987
  Portugal, Denis Vorobyov 3 1101
  San Marino, Nikita Likhanov 7 1075
  Serbia, Evgenii Smykov 10 1057
  Spain, Sergey Ladysev 6 1081
  Sweden, Maksim Kamendrowsky 19 610
  Thailand, Maksim Bogomolov 15 996
  United Kingdom, Igor Kapsharin 9 1060
  Vietnam, Denia Nikitin 4 1095
First Semi-Final Second Semi-Final Grand Final
1   Kamendrowsky 380 1   Tarashkevich 380 1   Smykov 507
  Vorobyov 380 2   Alekseyonok 370 2   Isaac 497
3   Nikitin 350 3   Dudarev 360 3   Sivak 494
4   Alekseyonok 340 4   Kapsharin 340 4   Solovyov 493
  Silkin 340 5   Ladysev 330 5   Kulik 476
6   Kapsharin 330   Silkin 330 6   Nikitin 475
  Likhanov 330 7   Bogomolov 290 7   Likhanov 475
  Sivak 330 8   Belonogov 270 8   Desyatov 474
9   Belonogov 300   Desyatov 270 9   Belonogov 460
  Bogomolov 300   Likhanov 270 10   Vorobyov 451
  Desyatov 300   Nikitin 270 11   Dudarev 451
  Ladysev 300   Sivak 270 12   Ladysev 451
  Semenov 300   Solovyov 270 13   Silkin 439
  Smykov 300   Vorobyov 270 14   Alekseyonok 430
15   Dudarev 260 15   Smykov 250 15   Tarashkevich 415
  Isaac 260 16   Semenov 240 16   Bogomolov 406
  Kulik 260 17   Isaac 230 17   Kapsharin 390
18   Solovyov 250   Kamendrowsky 230 18   Semenov 172
  Tarashkevich 250 19   Kulik 200 19   Kamendrowsky 0

Semi-Finals

Scoring system for the semi-finals
Number of mentions 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Points awarded 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190
1st Semi-Final
Points
Norway
Malta
Serbia
Latvia
Portugal
Ireland
Croatia
Switzerland
Israel
Moldova
Sweden
Azerbaijan
Czechia
Netherlands
Finland
Contestants
   Solovyov 250 20 X 40 X 80 40 30 20 X 20
  Silkin 340 20 40 50 80 30 40 20 50 X 20
  Belonogov 300 20 40 50 X 40 30 40 20 50 20
  Tarashkevich 250 X 40 X 50 X 80 40 40 X X
  Sivak 330 20 40 X 80 40 30 40 20 50 20
  Dudarev 260 20 40 50 X 30 40 20 50 X 20
  Alekseyonok 340 20 X 40 50 80 40 30 20 50 20
  Kulik 260 20 X 50 40 30 40 20 50 X 20
  Semenov 300 20 50 80 40 30 20 X 50 X 20
  Desyatov 300 20 40 X 50 80 30 40 20 X 20
  Isaac 260 20 50 X 40 30 40 20 50 X 20
  Vorobyov 380 20 40 50 80 40 30 40 20 50 20
  Likhanov 330 20 40 80 40 30 40 20 50 X 20
  Smykov 300 20 X 40 50 40 30 40 20 50 20
  Ladysev 300 20 X 40 50 40 30 40 20 50 20
  Kamendrowsky 380 20 40 50 80 40 30 40 20 50 20
  Bogomolov 300 20 X 40 50 40 30 40 20 50 20
  Kapsharin 330 20 40 80 40 30 40 20 50 X 20
  Nikitin 350 20 40 50 80 40 40 20 50 X 20
2nd Semi-Final
Points
Denmark
Armenia
Romania
Estonia
Belgium
Cyprus
Iceland
Greece
Poland
Slovenia
Georgia
San Marino
Austria
Albania
Lithuania
Australia
Contestants
   Solovyov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30
  Silkin 330 20 40 X 40 10 X 30 130 30 30
  Belonogov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30
  Tarashkevich 380 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 130 30 30
  Sivak 270 20 40 40 30 X 40 10 X 30 30 30
  Dudarev 360 20 40 30 40 10 X 30 130 30 30
  Alekseyonok 370 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 130 30 30
  Kulik 200 20 40 40 30 X X 10 X 30 30
  Semenov 240 X 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30
  Desyatov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30
  Isaac 230 20 40 40 30 10 X 30 30 30
  Vorobyov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30
  Likhanov 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30
  Smykov 250 20 40 30 X 40 10 X 30 30 30
  Ladysev 330 20 40 30 X 40 10 X 30 130 30
  Kamendrowsky 230 20 40 30 X 40 10 X 30 30 30
  Bogomolov 290 X 20 40 30 X 10 X 30 130 30
  Kapsharin 340 20 40 40 X 40 10 X 30 130 30
  Nikitin 270 20 40 40 30 40 10 X 30 30 30

Grand Final

All participants announced their bets for the final, except for Maxim Kamendrovsky (Sweden) and a partial bet was made by Yegor Semyonov (Kazakhstan).

The ESC results   Alekseyonok 430   Belonogov 460   Bogomolov 406   Desyatov 474   Dudarev 451   Isaac 497   Kamendrowsky 0
Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts.
1   SWE 1   SWE 0 48 1   SWE 0 48 1   FIN +1 44 1   FIN +1 44 1   SWE 0 48 1   SWE 0 48 1 Bet not placed
2   FIN 2   FIN 0 48 2   FIN 0 48 2   SWE -1 44 2   SWE -1 44 2   FIN 0 48 2   ISR +1 44 2
3   ISR 3   ISR 0 48 3   ISR 0 48 3   FRA +13 3 3   ISR 0 48 3   ARM +11 5 3   FIN -1 44 3
4   ITA 4   ARM +10 6 4   FRA +12 4 4   ESP +13 3 4   NOR +1 44 4   ISR -1 44 4   ITA 0 48 4
5   NOR 5   HRV +8 8 5   NOR 0 48 5   ITA -1 44 5   ESP +12 4 5   NOR 0 48 5   UKR +1 22 5
6   UKR 6   ITA -2 20 6   ARM +8 8 6   NOR -1 22 6   ARM +8 8 6   ESP +11 5 6   ARM +8 8 6
7   BEL 7   BEL 0 24 7   ITA -3 18 7   AUT +8 8 7   AUS +2 20 7   FRA +9 7 7   FRA +9 7 7
8   EST 8   FRA +8 8 8   ESP +9 7 8   SVN +13 3 8   ITA -4 16 8   ITA -4 16 8   ESP +9 7 8
9   AUS 9   CHE +11 5 9   AUT +6 12 9   EST -1 22 9   AUT +6 12 9   UKR -3 18 9   AUS 0 24 9
10   CZE 10   ESP +7 10 10   UKR -4 16 10   ARM +4 16 10   BEL -3 18 10   SVN +11 5 10   NOR -5 14 10
11 LTU 11   CYP +1 22 11   CZE -1 22 11   GBR +14 2 11   DEU +15 1 11   SRB +13 3 11   AUT +4 16 11
12   CYP 12 12 12   ISR -9 7 12 12 12 12
13   HRV 13   NOR -8 8 13 13 13 13 13   CZE -3 18 13
14   ARM 14   UKR -8 8 14   AUS -5 14 14 14 14 14   BEL -7 10 14
15   AUT 15 15 15   UKR -9 7 15 15 15 15
16   FRA 16 16 16 16 16 16 16
17   ESP 17   AUS -8 8 17 17   CZE -7 10 17 17   EST -9 7 17 17
18 MDA 18   EST -10 6 18 18 18 18 18 18
19   POL 19 19 19 19   EST -11 5 19 19 19
20   CHE 20 20 20 20   UKR -14 2 20   AUS -11 5 20 20
21   SVN 21 21 21 21 21   CZE -11 5 21 21
22   ALB 22 22 22 22   BEL -15 1 22 22   EST -14 2 22
23   PRT 23 23   EST -15 1 23   AUS -14 2 23 23 23 23
24   SRB 24   CZE -14 2 24 24   BEL -17 0 24 24 24 24
25   GBR 25 25   BEL -18 0 25 25 25 25 25
26   DEU 26 26 26 26   CZE -16 0 26 26 26
The ESC results   Kapsharin 390   Kulik 476   Ladysev 451   Likhanov 475   Nikitin 475   Semenov 172
Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts.
1   SWE 1   FIN +1 44 1   SWE 0 48 1   SWE 0 48 1   SWE 0 48 1   SWE 0 48 1   ARM +13 3
2   FIN 2   SWE -1 44 2   FIN 0 48 2   FIN 0 48 2   FIN 0 48 2   FIN 0 48 2   SWE -1 44
3   ISR 3   ESP +14 2 3   FRA +13 3 3   ISR 0 48 3   NOR +2 40 3   NOR +2 40 3   FIN -1 44
4   ITA 4   ISR -1 44 4   ISR -1 44 4   NOR +1 44 4   ISR -1 44 4   ISR -1 44 4   FRA +12 4
5   NOR 5   AUT +10 6 5   ITA -1 44 5   FRA +11 5 5   UKR +1 22 5   UKR +1 22 5   UKR +1 22
6   UKR 6   UKR 0 24 6   ESP +11 5 6   ITA -2 20 6   FRA +10 6 6   FRA +10 6 6 Bet not placed
7   BEL 7   NOR -2 20 7   NOR -2 20 7   ESP +10 6 7   AUT +8 8 7   AUT +8 8 7   ITA -3 18
8   EST 8   ITA -4 16 8   UKR -2 20 8   GBR +17 0 8   ITA -4 16 8   ITA -4 16 8 Bet not placed
9   AUS 9   FRA +7 10 9   AUT +6 12 9   AUT +6 12 9   ESP +8 8 9   ESP +8 8 9
10   CZE 10   ARM +4 16 10   ARM +4 16 10   ARM +4 16 10   GBR +15 1 10   GBR +15 1 10
11 LTU 11   HRV +2 20 11   SLV +10 6 11   CZE -1 22 11   CZE -1 22 11   CZE -1 22 11   ESP +6 12
12   CYP 12   POL +7 10 12   BEL -5 14 12   SVN +9 7 12   ARM +2 20 12   ARM +2 20 12
13   HRV 13   SVN +8 8 13   AUS -4 16 13   UKR -7 10 13   SVN +8 8 13   SVN +8 8 13
14   ARM 14   DEU 14 14 14 14 14
15   AUT 15   GBR 15 15 15 15 15
16   FRA 16 MDA 16 16 16 16 16
17   ESP 17   SRB 17 17 17 17 17
18 MDA 18   BEL 18 18 18 18 18
19   POL 19   EST 19 19 19 19 19
20   CHE 20   AUS 20 20 20 20 20
21   SVN 21   CZE 21 21 21 21 21
22   ALB 22   CHE -2 20 22   ALB 0 24 22 22 22 22
23   PRT 23   CYP 23 23 23 23 23
24   SRB 24   ALB -2 20 24   SRB 0 24 24 24 24 24
25   GBR 25   PRT -2 20 25 25 25 25 25
26   DEU 26 LTU 26 26 26 26 26
The ESC results   Silkin   Sivak   Smykov   Solovyov   Tarashkevich   Vorobyov
Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts. Pl. Country Dif. Pts.
1   SWE 1 1 1 1 1 1
2   FIN 2 2 2 2 2 2
3   ISR 3 3 3 3 3 3
4   ITA 4 4 4 4 4 4
5   NOR 5 5 5 5 5 5
6   UKR 6 6 6 6 6 6
7   BEL 7 7 7 7 7 7
8   EST 8 8 8 8 8 8
9   AUS 9 9 9 9 9 9
10   CZE 10 10 10 10 10 10
11 LTU 11 11 11 11 11 11
12   CYP 12 12 12 12 12 12
13   HRV 13 13 13 13 13 13
14   ARM 14 14 14 14 14 14
15   AUT 15 15 15 15 15 15
16   FRA 16 16 16 16 16 16
17   ESP 17 17 17 17 17 17
18 MDA 18 18 18 18 18 18
19   POL 19 19 19 19 19 19
20   CHE 20 20 20 20 20 20
21   SVN 21 21 21 21 21 21
22   ALB 22 22 22 22 22 22
23   PRT 23 23 23 23 23 23
24   SRB 24 24 24 24 24 24
25   GBR 25 25 25 25 25 25
26   DEU 26 26 26 26 26 26

Criticism

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