ESCOdds 2024

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The ESCOdds 2024 - was the 2nd edition of the Eurovision Song Contest Odds and 3rd of the ESCOdds ever. That has been ever made and was held from 1 to 11 May 2024.

ESCOdds 2024 2024
Dates
Final1-11 May 2024
Host
Executive supervisor Mark Nightingale
Participants
Number of entries18
Debuting countries Israel
Returning Countries Italy
Portugal
San Marino
Serbia
Non-returning Countries South Korea
Participation map
Vote
Winning song San Marino
Nikita Likhanov
← ESCOdds 2024 2024 →

Eighteen countries will participate in the third odds.

XXX (380 points each) turned out to be the best in the bets on the first semi-final, and XXX (380 points) in the second semi-final. XXX won the final with 507 points. The final winner for all three evenings was XXX with 1140 points. The top five also included XXX, XXX, XXX and XXX.

Format

Semi-Final rules

Each participant had to submit their predicted top ten finalists for each of the two semi-finals of the competition. The participant had the right to change and / or supplement his bet before the broadcast of each of the semi-finals.

Points were awarded for each specified finalist country individually and depended on the number of mentions of a particular finalist country in all bets of all participants. So if the same finalist country was mentioned in all bets, all participants received 5 points each. Further, the less often the finalist country was mentioned in all bets, the value for it increased by 10 points until the moment when the finalist country was mentioned only in one of the eighteen bets - you could get upto 180 points for it.

As a result, all points for the guessed countries were summed up and gave a total for each of the semi-finals.

Changes

Initially, it was planned that only half of the total number of participants in terms of the total amount of points scored in the two semi-finals would advance to the final stage, with all points scored in the semi-finals reset to zero. However, the next day it was decided to abandon this idea in order not to deprive the full participation of all participants.

Grand Final rules

The opportunity to leave your predictions for the final became available from May 4, 2023 and lasted until the broadcast of the final on May 13, 2023.

In the final, each of the participants had to indicate the top forecast of 26 positions, placing the finalist countries in it. In the forecast, the finalist country should not have been repeated.

Points were awarded for each finalist country in the bet as follows:

  • 24 points for a full hit of the occupied place by the finalist country, or 48 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 22 points for an error of +/-1 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 44 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 20 points for an error of +/-2 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 40 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 18 points for an error of +/-3 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 36 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 16 points for an error of +/-4 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 32 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
  • 14 points for an error of +/-5 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 12 points for an error of +/-6 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 10 points for an error of +/-7 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 8 points for an error of +/-8 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 7 points for an error of +/-9 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 6 points for an error of +/-10 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 5 points for an error of +/-11 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 4 points for an error of +/-12 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 3 points for an error of +/-13 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 2 points for an error of +/-14 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 1 point for an error of +/-15 of the place taken by the finalist country;
  • 0 points for an error of +/-16 or more from the place taken by the finalist country;

As a result, all the points received were summed up with each other and gave a total for the final.

Summing up and resolving disputed positions

After the results of the final, all the points scored by the participants for the two semi-finals and the final were added together and gave the final final result. During the comparison of points, the winner was revealed.

If two or more participants had equal points, then to determine the strongest of them, the one who scored the most points in the final was determined. If this criterion did not reveal the strongest, then the number of guessed countries for both semi-finals together was compared (not including their value). In case of equality and in this criterion, the strongest was the participant who sent his bet-forecast for the final earlier than his opponents.

Participating Countries

Results

Eighteen participants took part in the bets. Participants could make and change their bets from May 1 to May 7 (before the broadcast of the first semi-final) and until May 9 (before the broadcast of the second semi-final). Bets on the final were accepted from the beginning of May 10 (as soon as all the finalists became known) until the broadcast of the final on May 11, 2024.

Country Place Points
  Australia, Mark Solovyov 6 731
  Croatia, Sergey Silkin 18 579
  Denmark, Nikita Belonogov 7 721
  Germany, Egor Tarashkevich 10 702
  Hungary, Roman Dudarev 15 653
  Israel, Nikolay Serb 8 716
  Italy, Artyom Alekseyonok 3 741
  Japan, Pasha Kulik 11 696
  Lebanon, Anton Desyatov 5 735
  Netherlands, Jean Isaac 12 687
  Norway, Aleksei Komarov 9 703
  Portugal, Denis Vorobyov 4 739
  San Marino, Nikita Likhanov 1 788
  Serbia, Evgenii Smykov 14 654
  Switzerland, Victor Pevchev 17 607
  Thailand, Maksim Bogomolov 16 617
  United Kingdom, Igor Kapsharin 13 659
  Vietnam, Denia Nikitin 2 769

Split Results by each show

First Semi-Final Second Semi-Final Grand Final
1   Desyatov 160
  Likhanov 160
3   Komarov 150
  Nikitin 150
5   Bogomolov 145
6   Isaac 130
7   Kulik 125
  Pevchev 125
  Kapsharin 125
10   Tarashkevich 120
  Alekseyonok 120
  Smykov 120


  Tarashkevich   Smykov   Vorobyov   Alekseyonok   Dudarev   Komarov   Kapsharin   Solovyov   Silkin   Serb   Kulik   Silkin   Nikitin   Bogomolov   Likhanov   Belonogov   Desyatov   Belonogov   Desyatov   Belonogov   Likhanov   Vorobyov   Nikitin   Dudarev   Serb   Komarov   Serb   Solovyov   Silkin   Vorobyov   Alekseyonok   Dudarev   Smykov   Isaac   Bogomolov   Isaac   Kapsharin   Solovyov   Pevchev   Tarashkevich   Kulik   Pevchev

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