ESCOdds 2023
The ESCOdds 2023 - was the 1st edition of the Eurovision Song Contest Odds that has been ever made and was held from 1 to 13 May 2023.
| ESCOdds 2023 2023 | |
|---|---|
| Dates | |
| Final | 1-13 May 2023 |
| Host | |
| Executive supervisor |  Mark Nightingale |
| Participants | |
| Number of entries | 19 |
| Debuting countries | Australia Denmark Croatia Germany Greece Hungary Italy Japan Kazakhstan Lebanon Netherlands Portugal San Marino Serbia Spain Sweden Thailand United Kingdom Vietnam |
| Returning Countries | None |
| Non-returning Countries | None |
| Participation map | |
| Vote | |
| Winning song | Italy Artyom Alekseyonok |
Nineteen countries will participate in the first odds. Among all the participants, Artyom Alekseyonok (Italy), Denis Nikitin (Vietnam) and Egor Tarashkevich (Germany) took part in the IECO competition for the first time.
Maksim Kamendrowsky and Denis Vorobyov (380 points each) turned out to be the best in the bets on the first semi-final, and Egor Tarashkevich (380 points) in the second semi-final. Evgeny Smykov won the final with 507 points. The final winner for all three evenings was Artyom Alekseyonok with 1140 points. The top five also included Sergey Silkin, Denis Vorobyov, Denis Nikitin and Alexander Sivak.
Format
Semi-Final rules
Each participant had to submit their predicted top ten finalists for each of the two semi-finals of the competition. The participant had the right to change and / or supplement his bet before the broadcast of each of the semi-finals.
Points were awarded for each specified finalist country individually and depended on the number of mentions of a particular finalist country in all bets of all participants. So if the same finalist country was mentioned in all bets, all participants received 10 points each. Further, the less often the finalist country was mentioned in all bets, the value for it increased by 10 points until the moment when the finalist country was mentioned only in one of the eighteen bets - you could get upto 180 points for it.
As a result, all points for the guessed countries were summed up and gave a total for each of the semi-finals.
Changes
Initially, it was planned that only half of the total number of participants in terms of the total amount of points scored in the two semi-finals would advance to the final stage, with all points scored in the semi-finals reset to zero. However, the next day it was decided to abandon this idea in order not to deprive the full participation of all participants.
Grand Final rules
The opportunity to leave your predictions for the final became available from May 4, 2023 and lasted until the broadcast of the final on May 13, 2023.
In the final, each of the participants had to indicate the top forecast of 26 positions, placing the finalist countries in it. In the forecast, the finalist country should not have been repeated.
Points were awarded for each finalist country in the bet as follows:
- 24 points for a full hit of the occupied place by the finalist country, or 48 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
- 22 points for an error of +/-1 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 44 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
- 20 points for an error of +/-2 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 40 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
- 18 points for an error of +/-3 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 36 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
- 16 points for an error of +/-4 of the place taken by the finalist country, or 32 points for guessing the position of the country in the top 5;
- 14 points for an error of +/-5 of the place taken by the finalist country;
- 12 points for an error of +/-6 of the place taken by the finalist country;
- 10 points for an error of +/-7 of the place taken by the finalist country;
- 8 points for an error of +/-8 of the place taken by the finalist country;
- 7 points for an error of +/-9 of the place taken by the finalist country;
- 6 points for an error of +/-10 of the place taken by the finalist country;
- 5 points for an error of +/-11 of the place taken by the finalist country;
- 4 points for an error of +/-12 of the place taken by the finalist country;
- 3 points for an error of +/-13 of the place taken by the finalist country;
- 2 points for an error of +/-14 of the place taken by the finalist country;
- 1 point for an error of +/-15 of the place taken by the finalist country;
- 0 points for an error of +/-16 or more from the place taken by the finalist country;
As a result, all the points received were summed up with each other and gave a total for the final.
Summing up and resolving disputed positions
After the results of the final, all the points scored by the participants for the two semi-finals and the final were added together and gave the final final result. During the comparison of points, the winner was revealed.
If two or more participants had equal points, then to determine the strongest of them, the one who scored the most points in the final was determined. If this criterion did not reveal the strongest, then the number of guessed countries for both semi-finals together was compared (not including their value). In case of equality and in this criterion, the strongest was the participant who sent his bet-forecast for the final earlier than his opponents.
Participating Countries
Results
Nineteen participants took part in the bets. Participants could make and change their bets from May 1 to May 9 (before the broadcast of the first semi-final) and until May 11 (before the broadcast of the second semi-final). Bets on the final were accepted from the beginning of May 12 (as soon as all the finalists became known) until the broadcast of the final on May 13, 2023.
| Country | Place | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Australia, Mark Solovyov
|
14 | 1013 |
| Croatia, Sergey Silkin
|
2 | 1109 |
| Denmark, Nikita Belonogov
|
13 | 1030 |
| Germany, Egor Tarashkevich
|
11 | 1045 |
| Greece, Alexander Sivak
|
5 | 1094 |
| Hungary, Roman Dudarev
|
8 | 1071 |
| Italy, Artyom Alekseyonok
|
1 | 1140 |
| Japan, Pasha Kulik
|
17 | 936 |
| Kazakhstan, Egor Semenov
|
18 | 712 |
| Lebanon, Anton Desyatov
|
12 | 1044 |
| Netherlands, Jean Isaac
|
16 | 987 |
| Portugal, Denis Vorobyov
|
3 | 1101 |
| San Marino, Nikita Likhanov
|
7 | 1075 |
| Serbia, Evgenii Smykov
|
10 | 1057 |
| Spain, Sergey Ladysev
|
6 | 1081 |
| Sweden, Maksim Kamendrowsky
|
19 | 610 |
| Thailand, Maksim Bogomolov
|
15 | 996 |
| United Kingdom, Igor Kapsharin
|
9 | 1060 |
| Vietnam, Denia Nikitin
|
4 | 1095 |
Split Results by each show
| First Semi-Final | Second Semi-Final | Grand Final | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kamendrowsky
|
380 | 1 | Tarashkevich
|
380 | 1 | Smykov
|
507 |
| Vorobyov
|
380 | 2 | Alekseyonok
|
370 | 2 | Isaac
|
497 | |
| 3 | Nikitin
|
350 | 3 | Dudarev
|
360 | 3 | Sivak
|
494 |
| 4 | Alekseyonok
|
340 | 4 | Kapsharin
|
340 | 4 | Solovyov
|
493 |
| Silkin
|
340 | 5 | Ladysev
|
330 | 5 | Kulik
|
476 | |
| 6 | Kapsharin
|
330 | Silkin
|
330 | 6 | Nikitin
|
475 | |
| Likhanov
|
330 | 7 | Bogomolov
|
290 | 7 | Likhanov
|
475 | |
| Sivak
|
330 | 8 | Belonogov
|
270 | 8 | Desyatov
|
474 | |
| 9 | Belonogov
|
300 | Desyatov
|
270 | 9 | Belonogov
|
460 | |
| Bogomolov
|
300 | Likhanov
|
270 | 10 | Vorobyov
|
451 | ||
| Desyatov
|
300 | Nikitin
|
270 | 11 | Dudarev
|
451 | ||
| Ladysev
|
300 | Sivak
|
270 | 12 | Ladysev
|
451 | ||
| Semenov
|
300 | Solovyov
|
270 | 13 | Silkin
|
439 | ||
| Smykov
|
300 | Vorobyov
|
270 | 14 | Alekseyonok
|
430 | ||
| 15 | Dudarev
|
260 | 15 | Smykov
|
250 | 15 | Tarashkevich
|
415 |
| Isaac
|
260 | 16 | Semenov
|
240 | 16 | Bogomolov
|
406 | |
| Kulik
|
260 | 17 | Isaac
|
230 | 17 | Kapsharin
|
390 | |
| 18 | Solovyov
|
250 | Kamendrowsky
|
230 | 18 | Semenov
|
172 | |
| Tarashkevich
|
250 | 19 | Kulik
|
200 | 19 | Kamendrowsky
|
0 | |
Criticism
Scoring system for the semi-finals
Even before the start of accepting bets, there was an idea to halve the value of getting points for qualification from the semi-finals of a guessed bet. After the announcement of the results of the finals, an active action was launched to call for a change in the system for scoring points in the semi-finals by half - instead of 10 points, award 5 points. This was due to the fact that the value of the two semi-finals together was higher than the value of the final (approximately 65% to 35%). On the same day, an alternative table was made with the proposed semi-final scoring system for comparison with the current results. The alternative table showed that the value of the final was now higher than the value of both semi-finals (approximately 35% for both semi-finals at 65% of the final), and the final positions were approximately more average.